Diabetes mellitusDiabetes mellitus2072-03512072-0378Endocrinology research centre1064510.17816/RFD10645Научная статьяSimulation of non-stationary event flow with a nested stationary componentPleshakovRuslan V.<p>PhD student</p>ruslanplkv@gmail.comKeldysh Institute of Applied Mathematics15122020281354821052020Copyright © 2020, Pleshakov R.V.2020<p>A method for constructing an ensemble of time series trajectories with a nonstationary flow of events and a non-stationary empirical distribution of the values of the observed random variable is described. We consider a special model that is similar in properties to some real processes, such as changes in the price of a financial instrument on the exchange. It is assumed that a random process is represented as an attachment of two processes - stationary and non-stationary. That is, the length of a series of elements in the sequence of the most likely event (the most likely price change in the sequence of transactions) forms a non-stationary time series, and the length of a series of other events is a stationary random process. It is considered that the flow of events is non-stationary Poisson process. A software package that solves the problem of modeling an ensemble of trajectories of an observed random variable is described. Both the values of a random variable and the time of occurrence of the event are modeled. An example of practical application of the model is given.</p>non-stationary time seriesnon-stationary flow of eventsmodeling of an ensemble trajectoriesнестационарные временные рядынестационарный поток событиймоделирование ансамблевых траекторий[A. D. Bosov and Y. N. 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